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DIW Discussion Papers 338 / 2003
Untersucht wird der Einfluss des Humankapitals, der Arbeitsmarktlage, der familiären Situation sowie der Persönlichkeitseigenschaften und sozialen Ressourcen auf die individuelle Arbeitslosigkeitsdauer anhand des Sozioökonomischen Panels (SOEP) in West- und Ostdeutschland. Es wird eine unproportionale Cox-Regression mit Interaktionseffekten ausgewählter Prädiktoren mit der Zeit geschätzt. Die Ergebnisse ...
2003| Arne Uhlendorff
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DIW Discussion Papers 337 / 2003
A non-cooperative model of network formation is developed. Agents form links with others based on the cost of the link and its assessed benefit. Link formation is one-sided, i.e., agents can initiate links with other agents with- out their consent, provided the agent forming the link makes the appropriate investment. Information flw is two-way. The model builds on the work of Bala and Goyal, but allows ...
2003| Hans Haller, Sudipta Sarangi
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DIW Discussion Papers 336 / 2003
The paper explores theoretically and empirically why trade intermediaries (TIs) are frequently used as agents for exports to some countries but not to others. We adapt a standard intra-industry trade model with variable export costs (e.g. transport) and fixed export costs (e.g. market access) to include a TI that is able to pool market access cost. From this framework explanatory factors for the TI ...
2003| Philipp J. H. Schröder, Harald Trabold, Parvati Trübswetter
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DIW Discussion Papers 335 / 2003
This note studies the choice of tax structure in a majority voting model with tax competition. Regions may tax mobile capital or immobile labor. Individuals differ with respect to their relative endowments of labor and capital. Even though a lump sum tax is available, the equilibrium capital tax in a jurisdiction may be positive. In a symmetric equilibrium, this will be true if the median capital endowment ...
2003| Rainald Borck
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DIW Discussion Papers 334 / 2003
The paper applies an equilibrium correction model to discuss impacts of monetary, labour and external factors on the German inflation. The approach presented is of eclectic character and allows for examination which variables representative for various inflation theories matter empirically when analysing inflation processes in Germany. The results obtained suggest that inflation in Germany is determined ...
2003| Tatiana Fic
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DIW Discussion Papers 333 / 2003
This paper shows that the welfare dominance of ad valorem over unit taxes under imperfect competition, extends to the Dixit-Stiglitz framework with differentiated products, entry and love of variety. This contrasts against findings by Anderson et al. (J Public Econ, 2001) made in a similar framework, but under Bertrand competition.
2003| Philipp J. H. Schröder
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DIW Discussion Papers 332 / 2003
We analyze non-cooperative commodity taxation in a two-country trade model characterized by monopolistic competition and international firm and capital mobility. In this setting, taxes in one country affect foreign welfare through the relocation of mobile firms and through changes in the rents accruing to capital owners. With consumption-based taxation, these fiscal externalities exactly offset each ...
2003| Andreas Haufler, Michael Pflüger
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DIW Discussion Papers 331 / 2003
Eine zentrale Rolle in der aktuellen Diskussion um eine bessere Vereinbarkeit von Familie und Beruf spielt die Versorgung mit bedarfsgerechter Kinderbetreuung. Eine umfassendes Angebot an Betreuungsplätzen fördert jedoch nicht nur die Müttererwerbstätigkeit, sondern könnte sich auch positiv auf Fertilitätsentscheidungen auswirken. Im vorliegenden Beitrag untersuchen wir auf Basis von Daten des Sozio-oekonomischen ...
2003| Karsten Hank, Michaela Kreyenfeld, C. Katharina Spieß
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DIW Discussion Papers 330 / 2003
In letzter Zeit mehren sich die Stimmen, die das gegenwärtige System der Beitragserhebung in der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung, nämlich die Anknüpfung der Beiträge am Arbeitseinkommen, kritisieren und vorschlagen, zu einer einheitlichen Prämie je erwachsenem Versicherten nach dem Vorbild der Schweiz überzugehen. Die damit angeregte Diskussion leidet aber unter einer gewissen Vermengung von Begriffen, ...
2003| Friedrich Breyer
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DIW Discussion Papers 329 / 2003
This paper analyzes voting on a linear income tax which is redistributed lump sum to the taxpayers. Individuals can evade taxes, which leads to penalties if evasion is detected. Since preferences satisfy neither single peakedness nor single crossing, an equilibrium may not exist. When it does exist, it may have interesting properties, in particular, the poor and the rich may form a coalition against ...
2003| Rainald Borck
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DIW Discussion Papers 328 / 2003
The deterioration of the income and employment position of unskilled workers in the OECD since the 1980s is a well-documented fact. The debate about the causes of this development is dominated by two competing hypotheses, "North-South Trade" ("globalisation") and technological progress. Several empirical methodologies have been used to identify and quantify the importance of these two explanations: ...
2003| Michael Pflüger
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DIW Discussion Papers 327 / 2003
Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes whether the "early warning" or "signals" approach of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky/Reinhart (1999) could have predicted the Argentinean currency crisis at an earlier point in time. Using a ...
2003| Patricia Alvarez-Plata, Mechthild Schrooten
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DIW Discussion Papers 326 / 2003
Wir diskutieren eine Reihe von Problemen der Rentenformel in der deutschen gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung (GRV). Wir zeigen, dass Bev¨olkerungsgruppen mit ¨uberdurchschnittlicher Lebenserwartung, insbesondere die besser Verdienenden, von den ¨ubrigen Versicherten subventioniert werden, da die Rentenformel Unterschiede in den gruppenspezifischen Lebenserwartungen nicht ber¨ucksichtigt. Außerdem f¨uhrt ...
2003| Friedrich Breyer, Mathias Kifmann
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DIW Discussion Papers 325 / 2003
This paper proposes a method for detecting income classes based on the change-point problem. There is an increasing demand for such a method in the literature. Computation of polarization indices requires a pre-grouping of the incomes. Similarly, indices of social exclusion and sometimes indices of income inequality require detection of thresholds. The estimation procedure is implemented using a bootstrap ...
2003| Conchita D'Ambrosio, Pietro Muliere, Piercesare Secchi
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DIW Discussion Papers 324 / 2003
One channel of business cycle shock transmission which gained attraction only recently is the confidence channel. The aim of the paper is to find out whether the confidence channel is actually working between the US and Germany. This is analysed using times series methods. In contrast to other studies the direct informational content of leading US indicators for German producer confidence and the significance ...
2003| Gustav Adolf Horn
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DIW Discussion Papers 323 / 2003
This paper follows two objectives: (i) It demonstrates the merits of the survey based approach to B2C eCommerce characteristics and company strategy, and (ii) it presents empirical evidence of the crucial importance of size and marketing investment in B2C eCommerce markets. It presents econometric estimates of the effects of company characteristics and company strategies on the performance of Viennese ...
2003| Stefan W. Schmitz, Paul Peter Sint
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DIW Discussion Papers 322 / 2003
Wir untersuchen den Einfluss von Branchenmerkmalen, Standort und Veränderungen im Zeitablauf auf Neugründungen von Betrieben mit einem Mehr- Ebenen-Ansatz. Die Analyse bezieht sich auf Westdeutschland im Zeitraum 1983- 1997. Innovationsaktivitäten und die Ausprägung des technologischen Regimes haben offenbar einen wesentlichen Einfluss auf Gründungsaktivitäten. Es bestehen erhebliche Unterschiede zwischen ...
2003| Michael Fritsch, Oliver Falck
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DIW Discussion Papers 321 / 2003
In this paper we estimate the labor supply function for married females in Estonia. Particularly, we are interested in determining the elasticities of the weekly supply of hours with respect to hourly wage rates and with respect to nonlabor income. We adopt the two-step estimation procedure. In the first step, we obtain parameter estimates of the self-selection corrected wage equation. At this stage, ...
2003| Boriss Siliverstovs, Dmitri Koulikov
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DIW Discussion Papers 320 / 2003
Is it politically feasible for governments to engineer endogenous growth? This paper illustrates two reasonable political decision mechanisms by which fiscal policy generates endogenous growth with a single accumulable factor, under a constant returns to scale production technology, and without production externalities. In the first mechanism, optimal policies are chosen by the government to maximize ...
2003| Chetan Ghate, Paul J. Zak
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DIW Discussion Papers 319 / 2002
Typically, laboratory experiments suffer from homogeneous subject pools and selfselection biases. The usefulness of survey data is limited by measurement error and by the questionability of their behavioral relevance. Here we present a method integrating interactive experiments and representative surveys thereby overcoming crucial weaknesses of both approaches. One of the major advantages of our approach ...
2002| Ernst Fehr, Urs Fischbacher, Bernhard von Rosenbladt, Jürgen Schupp, Gert G. Wagner