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DIW Discussion Papers 1627 / 2016
This paper provides evidence over a long time period on the question of who bears the burden of social security contributions (SSC) in Germany. Following Alvaredo et al. (2016) we exploit kinks in the budget set generated by a drop in the marginal SSC rate at earnings caps. Based on cross-sectional earnings distributions the framework does not rely on policy reforms. Applying the approach to administrative ...
2016| Kai-Uwe Müller, Michael Neumann
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DIW Discussion Papers 1626 / 2016
We analyze the positive and normative effects of a progressive tax on wages in a nonlinear New Keynesian DSGE model in the presence of demand and technology shocks. The non-linearity allows us to disentangle the effects of the progressive tax on the volatility and the level of macroeconomic variables, for both intertemporally optimizing (“Ricardian") and non-Ricardian (“rule-of-thumb") households. ...
2016| Philipp Engler, Wolfgang Strehl
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DIW Discussion Papers 1625 / 2016
Several studies have analyzed the trade and output effects of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) between the United States and the European Union, but our paper is the first attempt to study its welfare effects. We measure the welfare effect of TTIP as the percentage of initial consumption that households would be willing to pay for TTIP in order to remain as well off with TTIP ...
2016| Philipp Engler, Juha Tervala
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DIW Discussion Papers 1624 / 2016
Short-term operating requirements and constraints in power systems are becoming increasingly important with the greater flexibility needed due to the integration of variable renewables. However, large problem sizes and computational barriers have limited the extent to which they are included in long-term planning models. Our objective is to understand the role of electricity storage in future renewable-based ...
2016| Tom Brijs, Arne van Stiphout, Sauleh Siddiqui, Ronnie Belmans
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DIW Discussion Papers 1623 / 2016
I build a model where creditworthy countries may use fiscal austerity to communicate their ability to repay sovereign debt and show that the signaling channel is active only for high levels of asymmetric information. The model generates a negative association between the amount of public information, provided by the rating agencies, and fiscal tightness. Informed by the model predictions, I build a ...
2016| Anna Gibert
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DIW Discussion Papers 1622 / 2016
Most literature on the relationship between childcare availability and maternal labour force participation examines childcare for preschool aged children. Yet families must continue to arrange childcare once their children enter primary school, particularly in countries where the school day ends at lunchtime. In this paper we examine the case of Germany, a country that has moved from an exclusively ...
2016| Ludovica Gambaro, Jan Marcus, Frauke H. Peter
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DIW Discussion Papers 1621 / 2016
Common intuition holds that retail real-time pricing (RTP) of electricity demand should become more beneficial in markets with high variable renewable energy (VRE) supply mainly due to increased price volatility. Using German market data, we test this intuition by simulating long-run electricity market equilibria with carbon-tax-induced VRE investment and real-time price responsive and nonresponsive ...
2016| Christian Gambardella, Michael Pahle, Wolf-Peter Schill
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DIW Discussion Papers 1620 / 2016
Nearly every carbon price regulates the production of carbon emissions, typically at midstream points of compliance, such as a power plant. Over the last six years, however, policymakers in Australia, California, China, Japan, and Korea implemented carbon prices that regulate the consumption of carbon emissions, where points of compliance are farther downstream, such as distributors or final consumers. ...
2016| Clayton Munnings, William Acworth, Oliver Sartor, Yong-Gun Kim, Karsten Neuhoff
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DIW Discussion Papers 1619 / 2016
Wenn hohe Vermögen stärker besteuert werden sollen, spricht vieles für eine effektivere Erbschaftsteuer. Dazu sollten die weitgehenden Steuerbefreiungen für Unternehmensübertragungen und weitere Steuervergünstigungen beseitigt werden. Dadurch ließe sich auch bei moderaten Steuersätzen für Unternehmensübertragungen das Steueraufkommen längerfristig mehr als verdoppeln. Ferner könnten die Vermögensteuer ...
2016| Stefan Bach
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DIW Discussion Papers 1618 / 2016
Entrepreneurship is a local and dynamic phenomenon. We jointly investigate spatial spillovers and time persistence of regional new business formation. Using panel data from all 402 German counties for 1996-2011, we estimate dynamic spatial panel models of business creation in the high-tech and manufacturing industries. We consider regions of different sizes and systematically search for the most suitable ...
2016| Frank M. Fossen, Thorsten Martin
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DIW Discussion Papers 1617 / 2016
In this paper we exploit a cohort-specific pension reform to estimate the causal labour market effects of changes in the financial incentives to retire. In particular, we analyze the effects of the introduction of cohort-specific deductions for early retirement on female retirement, employment and unemployment. For the empirical analysis we use high-quality administrative data from the German pension ...
2016| Barbara Engels, Johannes Geyer, Peter Haan
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DIW Discussion Papers 1616 / 2016
In the 2000s, a major educational reform in Germany reduced the academic high school duration by one year while keeping constant the total number of instructional hours before graduation. The instructional hours from the eliminated school year shifted to lower grade levels, which increased the time younger students spend at school. This study explores the impact of the reform on youth crime rates and ...
2016| Franz Westermaier
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DIW Discussion Papers 1615 / 2016
This research studies the stylized fact of a “gender gap” in that women tend to have lower financial literacy than men. Our data which samples middle-class people from Bangkok does not show a gender gap. This result is not explained by men’s low financial literacy, nor by women’s high income and good education. Rather, it seems influenced by country characteristics on general gender equality and finance-related ...
2016| Antonia Grohmann, Olaf Hübler, Roy Kouwenberg, Lukas Menkhoff
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DIW Discussion Papers 1614 / 2016
We analyze the pass-through of cost changes to retail tariffs in the German electricity market over the 2007 to 2014 period. We find an average pass-through rate of around 60%, which significantly varies with demand factors: while the pass-through rate to baseline tariffs, where firms have higher market power, is only 50%, it increases to 70% in the competitive segment of the market. Although the pass-through ...
2016| Tomaso Duso, Florian Szücs
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DIW Discussion Papers 1613 / 2016
We examine the consequences of compressing secondary schooling on students’ university enrollment. An unusual education reform in Germany reduced the length of academic high school while simultaneously increasing the instruction hours in the remaining years. Accordingly, students receive the same amount of schooling but over a shorter period of time, constituting an efficiency gain from an individual’s ...
2016| Jan Marcus, Vaishali Zambre
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DIW Discussion Papers 1612 / 2016
As panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models can include several countries and variables in one system, they are well suited for global spillover analyses. However, PVARs require restrictions to ensure the feasibility of the estimation. The present paper uses a selection prior for a data-based restriction search. It introduces the stochastic search variable selection for PVAR models (SSVSP) as an alternative ...
2016| Annika Schnücker
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DIW Discussion Papers 1611 / 2016
This study provides empirical evidence that the costs of austerity crucially depend on the level of private indebtedness. In particular, fiscal consolidations lead to severe contractions when implemented in high private debt states. Contrary, fiscal consolidations have no significant effect on economic activity when private debt is low. These results are robust to alternative definitions of private ...
2016| Mathias Klein
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DIW Discussion Papers 1610 / 2016
World War I led to radical changes in the government policy of participating countries. The enormous demographic and economic disturbances caused by the war forced the governments of all the belligerent nations to drastically restrict the market freedom. In particular, the state began actively intervening in the housing market. Ukraine as a part of the former Russian Empire, for the first time in its ...
2016| Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Tymofiy Gerasymov
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DIW Discussion Papers 1609 / 2016
The study aims to assess the distributional effects of taxing financial transactions including a focus on gender. It specifically investigates the impact of the low interest rate environment on tax revenues and distribution. The first part of the study is explorative, aiming to develop a concept for the assessment. This is because the role of low or even negative interest rates is not yet specifically ...
2016| Dorothea Schäfer
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DIW Discussion Papers 1608 / 2016
We compare seven established risk elicitation methods and investigate how they robustly explain eleven kinds of risky behavior with 760 individuals. Risk measures are positively correlated; however, their performance in explaining behavior is heterogeneous and, therefore, difficult to assess ex ante. To close this knowledge gap, greater diversification across risk measures is helpful. We do, indeed, ...
2016| Lukas Menkhoff, Sahra Sakha